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Will 0 Independents be elected to in 2026?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
LOCKS 1H 17MNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
LOCKS 1H 17MWill Netanyahu say "Israel" 10+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Israel & Gaza
RESOLVED NOHouthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026?
LOCKS 17H 18MDemocratic Senate odds <60% on September 25?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill United Russia (ER) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?
LOCKS 23H 18MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 25?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Alexander Shuvaev win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?
RESOLVED NOWill RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
LOCKS 1H 17MNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
LOCKS 1H 17MWill Netanyahu say "Israel" 10+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Israel & Gaza
RESOLVED NOHouthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026?
LOCKS 17H 18MDemocratic Senate odds <60% on September 25?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill United Russia (ER) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?
LOCKS 23H 18MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 25?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Alexander Shuvaev win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?
