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Will the Democratic party win the in 2030?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NONational Guard deployed to election sites by November 7, 2026?
LOCKS 1H 7MUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?
LOCKS 4H 37MWill Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?
LOCKS 9H 37MWill UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between November 2-November 8?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
LOCKS 9H 37MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?Iran
RESOLVED NOStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
RESOLVED NONational Guard deployed to election sites by November 7, 2026?
LOCKS 1H 7MUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?
LOCKS 4H 37MWill Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?
LOCKS 9H 37MWill UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between November 2-November 8?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
LOCKS 9H 37MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?Iran
RESOLVED NOStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
