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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 -01 by 18% or more?
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THE MODELAI FORECAST
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RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 4?
LOCKS 11H 15MWill SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 31 2026?
LOCKS 11H 15MWill Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED YESUkraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 22, 2026?
LOCKS 11H 15MWill CDU win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Elections
RESOLVED YESUkraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 22, 2026?
LOCKS 11H 15MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Oil
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 4?
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 4?
LOCKS 11H 15MWill SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 31 2026?
LOCKS 11H 15MWill Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED YESUkraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 22, 2026?
LOCKS 11H 15MWill CDU win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Elections
RESOLVED YESUkraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 22, 2026?
LOCKS 11H 15MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Oil
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 4?
