RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
LOCKS 21H 38MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 8?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?
LOCKS 23H 37MWill the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
LOCKS 23H 37MWill the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
LOCKS 23H 37MWill Alvin Lafu Sika win the Tongatapu 2 by-election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Ukraine target Moscow on October 3, 2026?
Resolved YES

Will it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern that a writ for a parliamentary by- is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Oct 1, 2026?

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THE MODELAI FORECAST

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Will it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Oct 1, 2026? · Leaderboard