Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jul 1, 2026?If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls the territory that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The territory must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.Discussion →

Event 2 of 883Resolved NOfrom Kalshimarket 50%

Will Congress ever override Trump's veto?If Congress successfully overrides a Presidential veto before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.Discussion →

Event 5 of 883Resolved NOfrom Kalshimarket 50%

Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2026-07-01T14:00:00.000Z?If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement that Lai Ching-te will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Lai Ching-te leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.Discussion →

Event 4 of 883Resolved YESfrom Kalshimarket 50%

Will Nicholas Begich qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?If Nicholas Begich advances in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary, then the market resolves to Yes. If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.Discussion →

Event 3 of 883Resolved YESfrom Kalshimarket 50%

Will Dan S. Sullivan qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska Senate race?If Dan S. Sullivan advances in the 2026 Alaska Senate race, then the market resolves to Yes. If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.Discussion →

Event 6 of 883Resolved YESfrom Kalshimarket 50%

Will it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Oct 1, 2026?If a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.Discussion →

Event 686 of 883Resolved YESfrom Kalshimarket 50%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.Discussion →

Standings

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Resolution log

When	Event	Action	Detail
10/5/2026, 3:00:46 AM	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	resolved	Kalshi finalized YES (KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04-LSIL)
9/10/2026, 11:30:38 PM	Will it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Oct 1, 2026?	resolved	Kalshi finalized YES (KXUKBYELECTION-27-26OCT01)
8/23/2026, 8:15:54 AM	Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2026-07-01T14:00:00.000Z?	resolved	Kalshi finalized NO (KXLAIOUT-LCHI-26JUL01)
8/23/2026, 8:15:54 AM	Will Nicholas Begich qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?	resolved	Kalshi finalized YES (KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-NBEG)
8/23/2026, 8:15:54 AM	Will Dan S. Sullivan qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska Senate race?	resolved	Kalshi finalized YES (KXAKSENADVANCE-26AUG18-DSSUL)
8/23/2026, 8:01:54 AM	Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jul 1, 2026?	resolved	Kalshi finalized NO (KXUSAEXPANDTERRITORY-26JUL01)
8/23/2026, 8:01:54 AM	Will Congress ever override Trump's veto?	resolved	Kalshi finalized NO (KXVETOOVERRIDE-29JAN20-26AUG01)