RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESWill David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
LOCKS 5H 18MWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Iran
RESOLVED NOVenezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?
LOCKS 5H 18MWill Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
LOCKS 5H 18MWill fewer than 160 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
LOCKS 5H 18MWill Adilet win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWill Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?
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5 / 883Resolved
38d 9hNext lock

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1 / 878 · SWIPE FOR NEXT
Event 1 of 883Resolved NOfrom Kalshimarket 50%
Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jul 1, 2026?If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls the territory that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The territory must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.Discussion
Event 5 of 883Resolved NOfrom Kalshimarket 50%
Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2026-07-01T14:00:00.000Z?If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement that Lai Ching-te will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Lai Ching-te leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.Discussion
Event 4 of 883Resolved YESfrom Kalshimarket 50%
Will Nicholas Begich qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?If Nicholas Begich advances in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary, then the market resolves to Yes. If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.Discussion
Event 3 of 883Resolved YESfrom Kalshimarket 50%
Will Dan S. Sullivan qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska Senate race?If Dan S. Sullivan advances in the 2026 Alaska Senate race, then the market resolves to Yes. If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.Discussion
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Resolution log

WhenEventActionDetail
8/23/2026, 8:15:54 AMWill Lai Ching-te leave office before 2026-07-01T14:00:00.000Z?resolvedKalshi finalized NO (KXLAIOUT-LCHI-26JUL01)
8/23/2026, 8:15:54 AMWill Nicholas Begich qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?resolvedKalshi finalized YES (KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-NBEG)
8/23/2026, 8:15:54 AMWill Dan S. Sullivan qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska Senate race?resolvedKalshi finalized YES (KXAKSENADVANCE-26AUG18-DSSUL)
8/23/2026, 8:01:54 AMWill the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jul 1, 2026?resolvedKalshi finalized NO (KXUSAEXPANDTERRITORY-26JUL01)
8/23/2026, 8:01:54 AMWill Congress ever override Trump's veto?resolvedKalshi finalized NO (KXVETOOVERRIDE-29JAN20-26AUG01)