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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 by 30% or more?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 5H 17MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of October 5 2026?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 5H 17MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 9?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?
LOCKS 6H 22MWill Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Sagal Abdi-Wali finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 7H 17MWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED YESWill Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
RESOLVED NOWill the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 5H 17MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of October 5 2026?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 5H 17MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 9?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?
LOCKS 6H 22MWill Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Sagal Abdi-Wali finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 7H 17MWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED YESWill Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
