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Will fewer than 170 the Strait between September 14-September 20?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?
LOCKS 2H 38MWill Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Andrew Blamey win the next Mulka by-election?
LOCKS 2H 38MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Russia target Kyiv by September 14, 2026?
LOCKS 2H 38MWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 7 2026?
LOCKS 2H 38MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Iran
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on September 11?
RESOLVED NOWill Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?
LOCKS 2H 38MWill Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Andrew Blamey win the next Mulka by-election?
LOCKS 2H 38MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Russia target Kyiv by September 14, 2026?
LOCKS 2H 38MWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 7 2026?
LOCKS 2H 38MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Iran
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on September 11?
