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The call on this storyLocks in 16d 20h
Will the Republican Party win the -01 seat?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?
LOCKS 20H 7MWill Kazuma Nakatani win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of October 12 2026?
LOCKS 24H 7MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Oil
RESOLVED YESWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 16?
LOCKS 24H 7MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?
LOCKS 42H 8MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on October 19?Oil
RESOLVED NODemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 16?
RESOLVED NOIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?
LOCKS 20H 7MWill Kazuma Nakatani win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of October 12 2026?
LOCKS 24H 7MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Oil
RESOLVED YESWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 16?
LOCKS 24H 7MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?
LOCKS 42H 8MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on October 19?Oil
RESOLVED NODemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 16?
