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Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the Socialist primary?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESWill Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?
LOCKS 54MWill Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be less than or equal to 1.1%?The Fed
RESOLVED YESWill Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
LOCKS 5H 55MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 10?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
LOCKS 12H 54MWill monthly inflation decrease by 0.3% or more in August?The Fed
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 9?
LOCKS 12H 54MWill annual inflation be 2.9% or less in August?The Fed
RESOLVED YESWill there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
RESOLVED YESWill Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?
LOCKS 54MWill Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be less than or equal to 1.1%?The Fed
RESOLVED YESWill Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
LOCKS 5H 55MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 10?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
LOCKS 12H 54MWill monthly inflation decrease by 0.3% or more in August?The Fed
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 9?
LOCKS 12H 54MWill annual inflation be 2.9% or less in August?The Fed
RESOLVED YESWill there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
