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Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NODemocratic Senate odds <60% on November 1?
LOCKS 2H 9MWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be less than 25%?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 2H 9MWill Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Nov 1, 2026?
LOCKS 2H 9MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
LOCKS 2H 9MWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be less than 18%?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?
RESOLVED NODemocratic Senate odds <60% on November 1?
LOCKS 2H 9MWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be less than 25%?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 2H 9MWill Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Nov 1, 2026?
LOCKS 2H 9MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
LOCKS 2H 9MWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be less than 18%?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?
