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The call on this storyLocks in 19d 8h
Will total cast in the 2026 for Senator from be less than 4,200,000?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) or decrease in September?
LOCKS 9H 43MTaiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?China
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?
LOCKS 17H 12MMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?Oil
RESOLVED YESShipping targeted in Hormuz on October 1, 2026?crowd 74%
LOCKS 18H 13MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 15?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill a dozen eggs cost <$1.90 in September?
LOCKS 24H 12MWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED NOWill Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in September?
RESOLVED NOWill monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) or decrease in September?
LOCKS 9H 43MTaiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?China
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?
LOCKS 17H 12MMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?Oil
RESOLVED YESShipping targeted in Hormuz on October 1, 2026?crowd 74%
LOCKS 18H 13MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 15?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill a dozen eggs cost <$1.90 in September?
LOCKS 24H 12MWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED NOWill Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in September?
