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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 by 35% or more?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill Otzma win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 8H 39MWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?Elections
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on October 28?
LOCKS 15H 4MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on October 29?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?
LOCKS 39H 4MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of October 26 2026?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Fed Hike-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
LOCKS 40H 4MStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill no one dissent the October Fed decision?
RESOLVED NOWill Otzma win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 8H 39MWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?Elections
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on October 28?
LOCKS 15H 4MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on October 29?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?
LOCKS 39H 4MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of October 26 2026?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Fed Hike-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
LOCKS 40H 4MStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill no one dissent the October Fed decision?
