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The call on this storyLocks in 54d 10h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 by 45% or more?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESWill there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
LOCKS 14H 44MWill Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be less than or equal to 1.1%?The Fed
RESOLVED YESWill the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?
LOCKS 19H 45MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 10?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?crowd 20%
LOCKS 26H 44MWill a dozen eggs cost <$1.80 in August?The Fed
RESOLVED NOStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
LOCKS 26H 44MWill Core CPI YoY be 2.0% or less in August?The Fed
RESOLVED YESWill there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?crowd 73%
RESOLVED YESWill there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
LOCKS 14H 44MWill Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be less than or equal to 1.1%?The Fed
RESOLVED YESWill the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?
LOCKS 19H 45MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 10?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?crowd 20%
LOCKS 26H 44MWill a dozen eggs cost <$1.80 in August?The Fed
RESOLVED NOStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
LOCKS 26H 44MWill Core CPI YoY be 2.0% or less in August?The Fed
RESOLVED YESWill there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?crowd 73%
