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Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York race in 2026?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOMilitary action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15?
LOCKS 17H 28MWill Kazuma Nakatani win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?
LOCKS 21H 28MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Oil
RESOLVED NOIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?
LOCKS 21H 28MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of October 12 2026?
LOCKS 39H 29MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on October 19?Oil
RESOLVED YESWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 16?
RESOLVED NOMilitary action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15?
LOCKS 17H 28MWill Kazuma Nakatani win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?
LOCKS 21H 28MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Oil
RESOLVED NOIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?
LOCKS 21H 28MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of October 12 2026?
LOCKS 39H 29MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on October 19?Oil
RESOLVED YESWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 16?
