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Will the Democrats win the New race in 2026?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESWill Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?
LOCKS 1H 46MDemocratic Senate odds <60% on November 1?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?
LOCKS 5H 51MWill Trump say "Tax" 32+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Elections
RESOLVED NOIsraeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?
LOCKS 8H 46MWill Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?Elections
RESOLVED NOIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
LOCKS 13H 45MWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be less than 18%?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
RESOLVED YESWill Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?
LOCKS 1H 46MDemocratic Senate odds <60% on November 1?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?
LOCKS 5H 51MWill Trump say "Tax" 32+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Elections
RESOLVED NOIsraeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?
LOCKS 8H 46MWill Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?Elections
RESOLVED NOIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
LOCKS 13H 45MWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be less than 18%?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
