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Will Marine Le Pen receive less than 28% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 presidential ?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESUS x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?
LOCKS 15H 34MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on November 9?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
LOCKS 16H 33MWill China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?China
RESOLVED NONational Guard deployed to election sites by November 7, 2026?
LOCKS 45H 33MWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?The Fed
RESOLVED YESWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?
LOCKS 45H 33MWill a dozen eggs cost <$1.90 in October?The Fed
RESOLVED NOWill at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?
RESOLVED YESUS x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?
LOCKS 15H 34MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on November 9?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
LOCKS 16H 33MWill China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?China
RESOLVED NONational Guard deployed to election sites by November 7, 2026?
LOCKS 45H 33MWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?The Fed
RESOLVED YESWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?
LOCKS 45H 33MWill a dozen eggs cost <$1.90 in October?The Fed
RESOLVED NOWill at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?
