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Will schedule early presidential in 2026?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 11H 54MDemocratic Senate odds <60% on November 2?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Together win less than 7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 17H 54MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on November 2?Oil
RESOLVED NODemocratic Senate odds <60% on November 1?
LOCKS 18H 53MFetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 18H 53MWill Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Nov 1, 2026?
RESOLVED NOWill UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 11H 54MDemocratic Senate odds <60% on November 2?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Together win less than 7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 17H 54MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on November 2?Oil
RESOLVED NODemocratic Senate odds <60% on November 1?
LOCKS 18H 53MFetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 18H 53MWill Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Nov 1, 2026?
