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Will the agreement text be released by September 19, 2026? (copy)
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THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on September 18?
LOCKS 16H 46MWill CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Ukraine target Moscow by September 11, 2026?
LOCKS 16H 46MWill voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 11, 2026?
LOCKS 16H 46MWill United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED YESWill Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?
LOCKS 16H 46MWill United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NORussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on September 18?
LOCKS 16H 46MWill CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Ukraine target Moscow by September 11, 2026?
LOCKS 16H 46MWill voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 11, 2026?
LOCKS 16H 46MWill United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED YESWill Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?
LOCKS 16H 46MWill United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NORussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
