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The call on this storyLocks in 463d 22h
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds be ≤2.5% at the end of 2027?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 23?
LOCKS 15H 7MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 24?Oil
RESOLVED NOStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?crowd 22%
LOCKS 17H 6MNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?
LOCKS 17H 6MWill Netanyahu say "Israel" 10+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Israel & Gaza
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?
LOCKS 33H 7MDemocratic Senate odds <60% on September 25?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill Vitaly Korolev win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?crowd 86%
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 23?
LOCKS 15H 7MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 24?Oil
RESOLVED NOStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?crowd 22%
LOCKS 17H 6MNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?
LOCKS 17H 6MWill Netanyahu say "Israel" 10+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Israel & Gaza
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?
LOCKS 33H 7MDemocratic Senate odds <60% on September 25?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill Vitaly Korolev win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?crowd 86%
