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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 by 40% or more?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESWill Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?
LOCKS 4H 17MWill Kazuma Nakatani win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
LOCKS 8H 17MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?
LOCKS 8H 17MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?
LOCKS 26H 18MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on October 19?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?
RESOLVED YESWill Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?
LOCKS 4H 17MWill Kazuma Nakatani win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
LOCKS 8H 17MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?
LOCKS 8H 17MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?
LOCKS 26H 18MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on October 19?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?
