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Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 presidential ?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?
LOCKS 54MWill no one dissent the September Fed decision?The Fed
RESOLVED NOWill Xi Jinping visit US by September 15?
LOCKS 5H 55MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on September 16?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
LOCKS 8H 54MWill Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?The Fed
RESOLVED YESWill Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
LOCKS 2DWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 14 2026?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?
RESOLVED NOSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?
LOCKS 54MWill no one dissent the September Fed decision?The Fed
RESOLVED NOWill Xi Jinping visit US by September 15?
LOCKS 5H 55MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on September 16?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
LOCKS 8H 54MWill Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?The Fed
RESOLVED YESWill Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
LOCKS 2DWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 14 2026?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?
