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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 -08 by 45% or more?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOTaiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?
LOCKS 2H 1MMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?Oil
RESOLVED NOTrump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
LOCKS 3H 2MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 15?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Job" 13+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana?
LOCKS 9H 1MWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15?Iran
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 14?
LOCKS 9H 1MPanama Canal effectively closed by October 15?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?
RESOLVED NOTaiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?
LOCKS 2H 1MMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?Oil
RESOLVED NOTrump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
LOCKS 3H 2MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 15?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Job" 13+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana?
LOCKS 9H 1MWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15?Iran
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 14?
LOCKS 9H 1MPanama Canal effectively closed by October 15?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?
