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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 -06 by 35% or more?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESRussia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?
LOCKS 8H 10MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 12?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?
LOCKS 8H 15MWill Trump say "Border" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
LOCKS 10H 9MWill Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?
LOCKS 10H 9MWill the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?
RESOLVED YESRussia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?
LOCKS 8H 10MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 12?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?
LOCKS 8H 15MWill Trump say "Border" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
LOCKS 10H 9MWill Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?
LOCKS 10H 9MWill the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?
