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The call on this storyLocks in 1172d 18h
Will it be confirmed that 2026 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next general occurred?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?
LOCKS 5H 9MDemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 16?Elections
RESOLVED NOMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?
LOCKS 8H 14MWill Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Elections
RESOLVED NONATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?
LOCKS 11H 9MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of October 12 2026?Oil
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 15?
LOCKS 11H 9MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 16?Oil
RESOLVED NOTaiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?
RESOLVED NOWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?
LOCKS 5H 9MDemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 16?Elections
RESOLVED NOMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?
LOCKS 8H 14MWill Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Elections
RESOLVED NONATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?
LOCKS 11H 9MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of October 12 2026?Oil
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 15?
LOCKS 11H 9MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 16?Oil
RESOLVED NOTaiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?
