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The call on this storyLocks in 3052d 11h
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds in effect at 11:59 on December 31, 2034 be above 1.00%?
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RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOVenezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?
LOCKS 6H 12MWill fewer than 160 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
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RESOLVED YESWill Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
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RESOLVED NOWill Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?
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RESOLVED NOWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
TODAY1 new player in the last 24h
RESOLVED NOVenezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?
LOCKS 6H 12MWill fewer than 160 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
LOCKS 6H 12MWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
LOCKS 6H 12MWill Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWill Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?
LOCKS 6H 12MWill anyone say "President" 10+ times during President Curtis E5 S1?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
TODAY1 new player in the last 24h