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Will invade by end of 2026?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
LOCKS 36MWill Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?
LOCKS 23H 31MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 8?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
LOCKS 25H 30MWill the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
LOCKS 25H 30MWill the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Ukraine target Moscow on October 3, 2026?
RESOLVED YESWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
LOCKS 36MWill Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?
LOCKS 23H 31MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 8?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
LOCKS 25H 30MWill the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
LOCKS 25H 30MWill the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Ukraine target Moscow on October 3, 2026?
