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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 by 70% or more?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NODemocratic Senate odds <60% on October 30?
LOCKS 13H 58MDemocratic Senate odds <60% on October 31?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Russia capture Svitle by August 31?
LOCKS 18H 57MWill Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill Likud win above 17 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
LOCKS 21H 57MKanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED NOWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?
LOCKS 21H 57MWill Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED NOWill Ryan Posselt win the next Hobart mayoral election?
RESOLVED NODemocratic Senate odds <60% on October 30?
LOCKS 13H 58MDemocratic Senate odds <60% on October 31?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Russia capture Svitle by August 31?
LOCKS 18H 57MWill Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill Likud win above 17 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
LOCKS 21H 57MKanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED NOWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?
LOCKS 21H 57MWill Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED NOWill Ryan Posselt win the next Hobart mayoral election?
