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THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?crowd 0%
LOCKS 17H 11MWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 17H 11MWill the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 17H 11MWill Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?
LOCKS 23H 11MWill Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWill Sagal Abdi-Wali finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
RESOLVED NOWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?crowd 0%
LOCKS 17H 11MWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 17H 11MWill the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 17H 11MWill Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?
LOCKS 23H 11MWill Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWill Sagal Abdi-Wali finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
