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Will NDP win the third most seats in the 2026 general ?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill Trump and Xi not shake hands during their summit?
LOCKS 11H 38MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 24?Oil
RESOLVED NOIran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?
LOCKS 13H 37MWill Netanyahu say "Israel" 10+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Israel & Gaza
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 23?
LOCKS 13H 37MNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?Iran
RESOLVED NOStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?crowd 22%
LOCKS 29H 38MDemocratic Senate odds <60% on September 25?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?
RESOLVED NOWill Trump and Xi not shake hands during their summit?
LOCKS 11H 38MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 24?Oil
RESOLVED NOIran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?
LOCKS 13H 37MWill Netanyahu say "Israel" 10+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Israel & Gaza
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 23?
LOCKS 13H 37MNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?Iran
RESOLVED NOStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?crowd 22%
LOCKS 29H 38MDemocratic Senate odds <60% on September 25?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?
