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The call on this storyLocks in 54d 11h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 by 30% or more?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESWill the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?
LOCKS 15H 55MWill Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be less than or equal to 1.1%?The Fed
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?crowd 20%
LOCKS 20H 56MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 10?Oil
RESOLVED NOStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
LOCKS 27H 55MWill annual inflation be 2.9% or less in August?The Fed
RESOLVED YESWill there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?crowd 73%
LOCKS 27H 55MWill a dozen eggs cost <$1.80 in August?The Fed
RESOLVED NOWill at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
RESOLVED YESWill the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?
LOCKS 15H 55MWill Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be less than or equal to 1.1%?The Fed
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?crowd 20%
LOCKS 20H 56MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 10?Oil
RESOLVED NOStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
LOCKS 27H 55MWill annual inflation be 2.9% or less in August?The Fed
RESOLVED YESWill there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?crowd 73%
LOCKS 27H 55MWill a dozen eggs cost <$1.80 in August?The Fed
RESOLVED NOWill at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
