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Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 presidential be less than 25%?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill Yashar win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 6H 8MDemocratic Senate odds <60% on November 1?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 13H 8MWill Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 18H 7MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 18H 7MWill UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between October 26-November 1?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
RESOLVED NOWill Yashar win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 6H 8MDemocratic Senate odds <60% on November 1?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 13H 8MWill Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 18H 7MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
LOCKS 18H 7MWill UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between October 26-November 1?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
