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Will the Republican Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 by 12% or more?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?
LOCKS 10H 38MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 22?Oil
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on October 21?
LOCKS 28H 38MDemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 23?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
LOCKS 34H 38MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of October 19 2026?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
LOCKS 36H 37MWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED NOPanama Canal effectively closed by October 15?
RESOLVED NOWill Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?
LOCKS 10H 38MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 22?Oil
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on October 21?
LOCKS 28H 38MDemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 23?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
LOCKS 34H 38MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of October 19 2026?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
LOCKS 36H 37MWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED NOPanama Canal effectively closed by October 15?
