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The call on this storyLocks in 22d 9h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 -05 by 21% or more?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NODemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 9?
LOCKS 1H 35MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?
LOCKS 1H 35MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill Trump say "Job" 17+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?
LOCKS 19H 36MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 12?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?
LOCKS 19H 41MWill Trump say "Border" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Elections
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 9?
RESOLVED NODemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 9?
LOCKS 1H 35MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?
LOCKS 1H 35MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill Trump say "Job" 17+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?
LOCKS 19H 36MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 12?Oil
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?
LOCKS 19H 41MWill Trump say "Border" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Elections
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 9?
