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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 -05 by 21% or more?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESWill Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?
LOCKS 12H 4MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on October 19?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Kazuma Nakatani win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?
LOCKS 12H 9MWill Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?crowd 13%
LOCKS 14H 4MWill China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 3.4%?China
RESOLVED YESWill Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?
LOCKS 38H 4MWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Israel & Gaza
RESOLVED NOWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
RESOLVED YESWill Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?
LOCKS 12H 4MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on October 19?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Kazuma Nakatani win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?
LOCKS 12H 9MWill Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?crowd 13%
LOCKS 14H 4MWill China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 3.4%?China
RESOLVED YESWill Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?
LOCKS 38H 4MWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Israel & Gaza
RESOLVED NOWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
