Finding the latest coverage…
The call on this storyLocks in 161d 14h
Will Raphaël Glucksmann receive less than 7% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 presidential ?
no calls in yetfrom Polymarket
Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?
LOCKS 10H 41MUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
LOCKS 14H 11MWill Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?Elections
RESOLVED NOStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
LOCKS 19H 11MWill UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between November 2-November 8?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill Democrats win young men in the midterms?
LOCKS 19H 11MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill Democrats win white voters in the midterms?
RESOLVED NOWill at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?
LOCKS 10H 41MUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
LOCKS 14H 11MWill Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?Elections
RESOLVED NOStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
LOCKS 19H 11MWill UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between November 2-November 8?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill Democrats win young men in the midterms?
LOCKS 19H 11MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?Iran
RESOLVED YESWill Democrats win white voters in the midterms?
