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Will countries clash with each other before 2028?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?crowd 0%
LOCKS 19MWill Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 19H 14MWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 19H 14MWill Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?
LOCKS 19H 14MWill the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Sagal Abdi-Wali finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
RESOLVED NOWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?crowd 0%
LOCKS 19MWill Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 19H 14MWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
LOCKS 19H 14MWill Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?
LOCKS 19H 14MWill the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Sagal Abdi-Wali finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
