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The call on this storyLocks in 23d 12h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 by 35% or more?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?
LOCKS 6MWill Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 9?
LOCKS 4H 5MWill Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Ilham Aliyev in Turkmenistan?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED NOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of October 5 2026?
LOCKS 28H 5MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
LOCKS 28H 5MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?crowd 0%
RESOLVED YESWill Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?
LOCKS 6MWill Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 9?
LOCKS 4H 5MWill Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Ilham Aliyev in Turkmenistan?Russia & Ukraine
RESOLVED NOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of October 5 2026?
LOCKS 28H 5MWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
LOCKS 28H 5MWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Iran
RESOLVED NOWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?crowd 0%
