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The call on this storyLocks in 119d 2h
Will the Hike-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
no calls in yetfrom Polymarket
Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWill Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?
LOCKS 41MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 30?Oil
RESOLVED YESNo change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by September 30?
LOCKS 2H 40MWill at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Iran
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on September 29?
LOCKS 2H 40MIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?
LOCKS 2H 40MWill the People’s Bank of China increase rates by September 30?China
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?
RESOLVED NOWill Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?
LOCKS 41MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 30?Oil
RESOLVED YESNo change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by September 30?
LOCKS 2H 40MWill at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Iran
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on September 29?
LOCKS 2H 40MIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Live from Polymarket
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?
LOCKS 2H 40MWill the People’s Bank of China increase rates by September 30?China
RESOLVED NOWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?
