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The call on this storyLocks in 22d 3h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 -01 by 45% or more?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED YESWill the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?
LOCKS 13H 6MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 12?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
LOCKS 13H 11MWill Trump say "Border" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?
LOCKS 15H 5MWill the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?
LOCKS 15H 5MWill Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Elections
RESOLVED NODemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 9?
RESOLVED YESWill the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?
LOCKS 13H 6MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 12?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
LOCKS 13H 11MWill Trump say "Border" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?
LOCKS 15H 5MWill the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?
LOCKS 15H 5MWill Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Elections
RESOLVED NODemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 9?
