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Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and seats?
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Events
THE MODELAI FORECAST
RESOLVING NOWLIVE
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 7?
LOCKS 13H 54MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 8?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?
LOCKS 15H 53MWill Alvin Lafu Sika win the Tongatapu 2 by-election?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
LOCKS 15H 53MWill the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?
LOCKS 15H 53MWill the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
RESOLVED NOWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 7?
LOCKS 13H 54MWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 8?Oil
RESOLVED NOWill voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?
LOCKS 15H 53MWill Alvin Lafu Sika win the Tongatapu 2 by-election?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
LOCKS 15H 53MWill the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Elections
RESOLVED NOWill the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?
LOCKS 15H 53MWill the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Elections
RESOLVED YESWill ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
